Announcing my new book, Mediate Yourself - Stand Out From The Crowd, targeted for pre-Christmas publication.

The title more or less explains what the book is about, but not why it has now taken primary place above two others I’ve been working on for a while.

Superdemocray - A New Art Of Corporate Governance was always a long-term project and is slowly falling into place.

Cosmosity - The Natural History of Nirvana was almost finished when an Indian author nicked the main title, and someone else “borrowed” the principal theme. Writing an online running commentary on a work-in-progress is not always a good idea. This book has been put on the shelf pending a complete rewrite.

However, Mediate Yourself has been quietly writing itself for some months and exists in multifarious pieces widely distributed on many sites and blogs. It would be impossible for any literary pickpocket to find them and piece them together into a coherent whole.

In fact, so much progress has been made beneath the radar that I’m able to announce it now without fear of exact plagiarism.

The domains, mediateyourself.com and .org were also available, which is always a good sign. The site will go up within shouting distance of publication.

The only decision still to make is whether the subtitle should be “stand out from the cloud”, instead of “crowd”. The first is more colourful and unexpected, while the second has more precision.

If you add up the major crises now facing the world — rocketing food prices, chronic wars in the Middle East, the credit crunch, high oil and commodity prices, and the slow motion global recession — they can all be traced directly back to September 11, 2001, when a few passenger jets were flown into three strategic American buildings.

That day has taken on an eerie similarity with the murder of Archduke Franz Ferdinand in Sarajavo in 1914, which triggered the conflagration of the First World War. Like the aftermath of that assassination, the reactions to 9/11 were, in retrospect, out of all proportion to the actual historical significance, despite the deep emotional shock it caused. Human reactions are driven by dark psychological currents, not cost-benefit analyses.

Consider the credit crunch. Joseph Stiglitz’s book The Three Trillion Dollar War (reviewed here) argues persuasively that Alan Greenspan’s policy of holding interest rates below optimal levels, for longer than anyone deemed necessary, was aimed at masking the enormous cost of the Iraq war on the American economy. The war was a result of 9/11.

Combined with rising house prices, the loose policy opened the way to a splurge of mortgage lending to the U.S. trailer-park poor, the sub-prime end of the market, and the rather guilty repackaging of it into faux Triple-A assets, which were sold on around the world. From those actions, we now have global economic turmoil hanging over us again.

The wars themselves are widely seen as a catastrophe for America’s reputation around the world, despite the late surge and the silent successes of the British SAS in taking out Al Quaeda leaders in the north. Whether they will inflict the psychological damage of Vietnam is not yet known, but it’s a distinct possibility.

As for commodity and food prices, the fighting in the Middle East drove up the price of oil, now heading to $120 a barrel, which has had a knock-on effect in all other markets, especially food.

In an inflationary environment, merchants tend to hoard their stocks in warehouses, betting on higher prices down the line. It’s a one-way bet right now, so a lot of the world’s grain output is locked away, pushing up prices at an even greater rate and shoving millions into hunger. Those positions will unravel quickly though at the first sign of a price peak, when dealers will dump their stocks on the world food markets. Prices will then drop sharply, revealing the real danger to the world — deflation and slump.

History comes down to us in a highly condensed form in which major events seem to follow each other in rapid succession. In reality they are interspersed by long periods of calm, even small recoveries and bursts of optimism. The underlying trend is still downward though, with much poison yet to unwind in a collapsing spiral of self-reinforcing declines.

The attack on 9/11 will almost certainly become the defining event of the 21st century, setting the tone for the rest, just as Franz Ferdinand’s death led to two world wars, a Great Depression and a cold war, plus the rise of some of the most evil figures in human history.

That’s why I say, 9/11 is still with us. It’s not going away anytime soon.

Matt Craven has written an interesting piece about Dave Winer over at The Blog Herald.

Along with a personal assessment, he brings up a recent Scripting News post which speculates, “What does an algorithm think?” — something I’ve often thought about, especially when falling foul of Google’s.

Dave’s post doesn’t actually answer the question, but has a little moan about posts on Techmeme : “Most of the authors don’t know the first thing about technology, never took a computer science class, have never written code, and don’t admit that understanding tech is a prerequisite for writing about it.”

In other words, only code writers need apply.

Now, I usually put myself in the ignorant category, unfairly as you’ll see — but being unfair to oneself is better than over-spicing the pudding.

Back in the 1980s when real computers were IBM mainframes or PDP 11 “mini” computers, and the hoi-polloi like me had to make do with “micros”, which really were micro then, I had a startup called, Earlgate Computers. It developed and produced software for the Sinclair Spectrum, the BBC (Acorn) computer and one or two others, like the Atari and Commodore 64. All utter relics now.

Yours truly wrote a series of programs titled, Fitness Software, which was aimed at the running and marathon craze of the period. The packages, on cassette tape, were written in Basic, and the series sold to two big retail chains in the UK, Boots and W.H. Smith.

Even so, I wouldn’t claim I’m a developer or a programmer by today’s standards, although I have written commercial code. I usually muddle through with the latest gizmos and avoid too much complexity where possible.

Nevertheless, I do get onto Techmeme regularly, so presumably fall into Dave’s “waste of space” class. I think he’s probably right.

However, a word of warning. Narrowly-based communities that talk to each other in jargon incomprehensible to even an intelligent audience, really belong in a social network niche, not on mainstream tools of the blogosphere. People with peripheral skills and general interests can often bring new perspectives and shine light into dark corners otherwise missed.

As Matt writes, Dave comes across as an irascible sort of fellow, forever banging on about RSS and outliners. Not quite “Hold The Front Page!” stuff.

His other strand, U.S. politics in election year, is much better, even for a Brit like me. I happen to be very interested in who or what the next President of the U.S. of A. will be.

Now for the unanswered question : what DOES an algorithm think?

It doesn’t.

We have just upgraded to Wordpress 2.5 from 2.1 and I was expecting lots of problems and incompatibilities. Not so.

A sweet conversion and one-click upgrade of plugins made life a lot easier. Although the backend is very different and will take some getting used to, the impression is one of great improvement, even from version 2.3.3. I understand there was no 2.4. Mysterious.

This was undoubtedly the smoothest upgrade I’ve ever experienced. Well done Wordpress and its brilliant community of open source programmers.