Syntagma Digital
Editor, John Evans
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More blog networks fail as economy stalls

Running with the ball Another week, another blog network wraps itself up. This time it’s the business network, Know More Media, which was particularly hard hit by Google’s ranking penalties.

Like BlogNation, a UK-based outfit, they simply ran out of money. I can think of many others that suffered the same fate, but will spare you the litany.

Even the few networks that professionalized themselves by raising VC funding and bringing in experienced managers, are finding the going tough right now. Earlier predictions of another dotcom bust are not off the table yet.

I’ve written many pieces here over the past three years on the choices faced by network owners and the chances of success. Most warned of this present crisis. As a result, Syntagma was ahead of the pack in diversifying into specialist information products on subscription terms. We have not yet felt the full force of the U.S. recession-in-progress.

The coming steep downturn in the UK will have minimum effect on us, except if the pound sterling falls relative to the dollar, in which case we will see our income rise on a windfall.

In America, the startup industry is losing momentum fast, although there’s no shortage of brave souls willing to chance more than their arms.

So, what’s to be done if you have invested heavily in an internet business, whether content or blogging-based or not?

The answer is to spot the second bounce of the ball.

As the economies eventually begin to turn around and a slow recovery takes place, most people will be looking out for “little green shoots” to signify a return to economic growth. In the early 1990s those shoots were a long time coming, and when they did, they grew slowly like hardwood trees, not the swift pines we were hoping for. I suspect the little shoots will keep us waiting even longer this time.

Green shoots may be interesting, but watching for the second bounce of the ball is usually more profitable. If the first bounce online for many of us was mass publishing technologies, what could the second be?

Providing content on your own platform as both writer and publisher makes sense because it cuts costs. Hiring other writers to do it for you made sense three years ago, but with advertisers shunning small-to-medium operations it’s probably easier to flip burgers.

Now we need a second bounce to reflate the whole business of working successfully online.

Forget social media. Maggie Jackson’s book Distracted: The Erosion Of Attention And The Coming Dark Age highlights the price we pay — including actual brain damage — for standard multi-tasking and trying to keep abreast of the information space.

As in my own book on the subject, Mediate Yourself, this is now becoming a common theme whose time is about to come. Finding ways not just of sifting and processing information but relating it to people’s essential requirements is a major path forward. Limiting individuals’ needs to interact with screens is probably more relevant still.

Simplifying the lives of knowledge workers is the big leap forward that will take us to the next level.

So far technology and software have complicated human life immeasurably. The constant pressure to upgrade and learn new tricks is mind-mashingly painful for most people — hence the brain damage.

The truth is, there may be no single second bounce this time, but a series of mini-bounces, with no one golden goose presenting itself for carving.

At Syntagma, we have our eyes on a variety of possibilities. To use a rugby term, all it needs is for someone to pick up a ball and run with it. As I write, there are not many runners out there.

Oh well, I’ll just have to do it myself, I suppose.

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The second explosion of the ball

Trees fall in the forest. People die. Businesses fail. Get over it.

Missing the bounce

However, the fallout from business failure is occasionally brutal and usually damaging to the participants. Bank accounts lie empty, egos are bruised, anger flies thick and furious.

Take the crash and burn of Blognation — a UK-based blog network that has been praised by a set of luminaries, including Robert Scoble.

Started by Sam Sethi, who also ran the ill-fated TechCrunch UK, Blognation is now the subject of a blogging firestorm. There’s an open letter to Sethi by Oliver Starr on TechCrunch, while the author puts it up on StarrTrek, his personal vehicle. I won’t go into the details, they’re extremely depressing, but read it yourself if you like a good weepie.

Second bounce All this is a downbeat prologue to a review of a new, very positive book on startups and funding by the man who “invented” the British venture capital and private equity industries, Sir Ronald Cohen.

Cohen is reported to be a close friend of new British Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, and a donor to the Labour party. Despite all that he can claim real and spectacular achievements in his long business career.

Cohen is the founder of a private equity company, Apax Partners, and has written an interesting book covering his business activities and philosophy : The Second Bounce Of The Ball: Turning Risk Into Opportunity. Gems of wisdom from the book include, “Start young, think big and stick with it.” And, “Seek out uncertainties. Risk is where the money is.”

Although Cohen started out as a rather poor immigrant to Britain from Egypt, his education was of the best : a degree at Oxford and an MBA from the Harvard Business School, where he met the people who would be his partners in later life, and the contacts who mattered.

The second bounce means trying to spot what comes next. Using our first example, what comes after blog networks? As a network owner myself, I know the problems inherent in that question. Recently, Google has severely downgraded the PageRanks of blogs and networks in particular. Many highly rated blogs have dropped from PR6 to PR 3, which now seems to be the norm. Syntagma has only just recovered to a 4, while some of our other sites are settling down to 3s and recovering from zero.

It’s not easy to run a business which is in the hands of another company’s self-interest. So Cohen’s suggestion is to stay ahead of the game by working on “the second bounce of the ball”, while never forgetting that risk is where the money is.

Our second bounce? : “a long-term plan to create specialist information products for high-worth niches, published privately or behind subscription walls.”

We’re already looking toward the third bounce.

Juicy Quotes

Risk is an emotive word that masks the value of uncertainty.

Stop worrying about failure and put that energy into winning the race.

Investors back jockeys not horses.

Fulfilment lies in reaching a balance between what you do for yourself and what you do for others.

I’ve read many books on entrepreeurship in recent years. This is undoubtedly one of the best, being both illuminating and readable simultaneously.

Highly recommended for merchant adventurers.

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