The European Central Bank (ECB) remains obdurate about cutting its 4pc interest rate despite the Fed going to the brink of its powers in Washington.

U.S. rates are expected to be cut by a whopping 1pc to 2pc today giving America an effective zero interest rate when inflation is taken into account.

The flight from the dollar will only get worse, especially with the ECB giving a two-fingered salute to the American authorities. It’s said that the eurozone (which does not include Britain) is in no mood to help the Americans — a situation similar to 1987, when the Bundesbank let the dollar slip into freefall, spooking the markets into a catastrophic drop.

Let’s not beat about the bush, Europe is engaging in a financial war with the U.S. As long as the ECB refuses to join in the rescue package, the dollar will fall spreading even more gloom around the markets. Some very senior commentators in the UK are now discussing the potential for a collapse of the entire banking system in the West and elsewhere.

Jean-Michel Six, Chief Europe Economist at Standard and Poor’s says, “There is a monetary war going on. The ECB view is that the Fed is a victim of its own mistakes and should pay for its past crimes. Frankly, they don’t see why they should be cutting rates when inflation is accelerating.”

British inflation measured on the CPI index, which doesn’t include mortgage costs, has risen to 2.5pc this morning. However, core inflation is down to 1.2pc, indicating that, apart from headline price rises in food and energy, deflationary pressures may be the real enemy in the months ahead.

Bernard Connolly of AIG thinks the ECB is making the same mistakes that led to the Great Depression in the 1930s. “The ECB represents the 1930s element in world central banking right now. It is adding to the atmosphere of panic in the foreign exchange markets and ensuring the collapse of the credit bubble in southern Europe and Ireland will be even worse.”

How long before cries of “Cheese-eating surrender monkeys,” are heard once again?

Here’s a question often posed in the business small ads of many newspapers : “Is this the greatest moneymaker of all time?”

Whatever it is, the answer is No.

There are a few organizations, central banks and Treasury departments, which can chop down a tree worth a few thousand dollars, pulp it into paper, print some ink on it and call it a billion dollars.

A lot of that is going on right now.

So money making is the greatest moneymaker of all.

Have a nice day.

Before you switch off, I don’t mean climate change. That’s a doddle since we have little control over it, despite what the doomsters think. Nor am I writing about nuclear war, surely a distant memory now.

I mean the alarming slide into a 1930s style worldwide Depression.

I’ve written a few times in Syntagma about the constraints of running a business in England, where the pound sterling is the currency, while our income is designated and paid in US dollars. Now one of the world’s major companies, Airbus — which is partly owned by the French state — has announced that its business model is shot through and broken.

Their problem is that the dollar has fallen even more against the euro than the pound. A euro is now worth $1.50. A few years ago there was jubilation when the euro achieved parity with the dollar. Eat your hearts out Eurocrats!

Airbus sells more airliners around the world than Boeing, but since aircraft prices are designated in dollars, they get paid one third less than Boeing compared with the period of parity. In a tight-margin international business that’s fatal. Many other European companies are feeling the pinch too — business confidence has all but collapsed in Germany, and the French are going through one of their periodic episodes of industrial unrest, with workers marching in the streets against Government diktat.

The driving mechanism behind all this is the massive US trade deficit. The Treasury is content to see a steady drop in the dollar as a correction to this deficit. Other countries see it as “beggar my neighbor”.

But more ominous forces are gathering now which will really put pressure on the world’s financial system. The new economies of China, Brazil and India are starting to move their large trade surpluses out of dollar assets into euro assets. The same is happening with the petrodollar states in the Gulf. Apart from setting up a future Wall Street crash, it’s also putting great strains on the eurozone, which is a ragbag club of nations speaking different languages and with very different economies.

The strain is such that Nicolas Sarkozy, President of France, is talking about limiting capital flows into the eurozone. The EU Commission has said this is possible because of a little known clause in an annexe to a policy document dating back to 2003. Europe always reverts to political will over the rule of law.

Since this decision could be taken by majority voting of finance ministers, Britain could be outvoted here. The result of a cap on capital inflows would be devastating to London, which is the world’s leading financial centre. In such circumstances Britain would have no choice but to withdraw from the European Union.

Stateside, the sub-prime mortgage fiasco is feeding into the wider situation and genuine fears of a 1929 crash and 1930s type depression are rife among those who know about these things.

Will it happen? Luckily for Americans, “cometh the hour, cometh the man”. Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has spent his life studying the causes of the 1930s Depression, so is unlikely to allow the same mistakes to be made. He can also call on the advice of wily old Alan Greenspan, now retired, whose new book, The Age of Turbulence should be required reading for anyone interested in the global economy in the 21st century.

Syntagma’s guess is that Western economies are resilient and flexible enough to withstand the shocks that are coming without withering on the vine. The joker in the pack, though, is the eurozone, which lacks the strength of the Common Law countries in dealing with the rest of the world. There’s even wild talk in Brussels about a Fortress Europe, with the euro countries only trading with themselves behind massive tariff walls. Sound familiar? It’s Politburo time again in the Chancelleries of Europe.

I believe the euro currency will collapse within five years. Britain will withdraw from the EU to preserve its international trading position, and America will take a severe knock but will recover strongly to regain its former position.

As for the emerging “superpowers”, they face a collapse in their export trade from which they will struggle to recover — think Japan in the 1990s and the meltdown of the Tiger economies of the Far East.

There’s a lot of water to flow under this bridge yet. It’s a greater immediate threat than climate change, so let’s ease back on all the noise about carbon footprints, offsets and trading.

There’s Armageddon to deal with first.

I’ve never really thought that Warren Buffett (pictured left) would want to invest in Syntagma Media, but an entrepreneur can dream.

Buffett, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and one of the top two or three richest people on the planet — heck, he even owns a hedge fund, is known for making shrewd investments. Where Warren burrows, others follow — like rabbits.

Like all good business folk he’s noticed that the dollar has been on the slide for quite a while, agonizingly compensating for America’s huge foreign trade deficit. Meanwhile, the poor old pound sterling is about to hit the starry heights of $2.10, making the greenback worth all of 47 pence (45 on PayPal).

For those of us paid in Uncle Sam’s Monopoly money that’s quite a hit we’re taking over here in the UK and Europe. We’ll be reduced to Dickensian conditions by year end, mark my words. We may even apply for Marshall Aid.

Anyway, back to Warren Buffett. He’s now announced he is NOT investing in any business whose income is designated in dollars.

Shrewd? Yes.

Scrooge? You said it. That’s why I say Buffett has rejected Syntagma Media.

On top of all that we have the credit crunch? Is that a new breakfast cereal? It’s the result of American banks giving mortgages to the trailer-park poor who couldn’t afford to repay them. They then sliced, diced and packaged them into “collateral debt obligations” and sold these to banks around the world.

Now banks don’t trust other banks — or their own balance sheets — so lending short-term funds to other financial institutions is at a standstill. Result? The world suddenly has an acute shortage of liquidity.

The U.S. used to be good at banking. What happened?

Our designer, Thord Hedengren, writing in 901am, complains about the low value of the dollar. How would that affect him? Because like many people plying their trade on the internet he’s paid in dollars but lives outside the U.S.

He complains : “So I’m looking at my Paypal account and realize I won’t be moving any money anytime soon. The dollar’s down, has been for quite some time, and that means us non-US people make less for the same work.”

Currently, there are two dollars to every GB pound and, since a pound buys very roughly what a dollar buys in the States, it means we at Syntagma Media receive something like half the fee that an American company picks up, even when we are paid at the same rate.

Of course, it would work to our advantage if we were paid in sterling while our outgoings were designated in dollars. Unfortunately, it doesn’t work that way. The internet is part of the dollar zone and will continue to be.

Thord goes on : “I lost equivalent of a grand (perhaps more when you read this, or less, depending on how the dollar moves compared to the Swedish crown) recently, just due to the dollar being down.”

Now I don’t know what the value of the Swedish Kroner is off-hand, but if it’s anything like the euro, he could be in an even worse situation than we British are.

The American economy is still chuntering along, despite a mammoth overseas trade deficit which is driving the dollar value down and making American goods and services cheaper for us abroad. This corrective mechanism clearly hasn’t gone far enough. Mostly this is due to Americans buying cheap Chinese goods — and who can blame them. The Chinese dollar surplus is then invested back into dollar assets on Wall Street. So the stock market moves up and cheap goods flood in. Everyone’s happy.

Except us worldwide writers and content providers who live in parts of Europe and get paid in dollars.